Matera vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
6 - 0
ASM
73%
19%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 2
JUS
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
MAT
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
CAS
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 3
MAT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
JUS
25%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 2
TAR
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASM
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
TAR
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |