Matera vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
MAT
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
VIC
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 0
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 3
VIC
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 2
SPA
48%
31%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |