Matera vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 0
MAT
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
MAT
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
MAT
31%
27%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 0
BIS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
SIR
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 1
SIR
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAV
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 1
SIR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -2 |