Matera vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NUO
2 - 1
MAT
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
3 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 0
AKR
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 0
SIR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
FON
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 1
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
FIA
2 - 0
SIR
30%
28%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |