Matera vs Savoia 1908 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 0
MAT
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAL
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
MAT
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 3
NUO
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
REG
26%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 1
PAG
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
FCS
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
FCS
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |