Matera vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BIS
0 - 3
MAT
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
RPO
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAT
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAT
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FIA
0 - 1
MAT
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RIE
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
TER
54%
23%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 2
USV
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 0
RIE
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 2
LRO
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |