Matera vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NUO
2 - 1
MAT
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
3 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
SIC
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 1
MAT
22%
25%
54%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
FCC
0 - 1
REG
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
REG
0 - 3
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
JUS
2 - 1
REG
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
REG
0 - 3
SIC
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |