Matera vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PIS
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
MAT
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
VIC
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 0
VER
40%
32%
28%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
53%
29%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
VIC
3 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
7%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAM
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |