Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Last 16
Global 2-3
Matera vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 1
MAT
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 3
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
VNZ
3 - 1
MAT
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
MAT
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 1
MAT
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 0
PAG
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 2
USF
18%
24%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
NUO
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 0
AKR
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |