Matera vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
28.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
MAT
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
MES
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
USF
2 - 2
MAT
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAT
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
JUS
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUO
47%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 1
MES
58%
26%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 0
NUO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |