Matera vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
REG
26%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAT
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 1
LRO
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 2
MAT
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MES
0 - 5
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
PAG
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
REG
3 - 0
NUO
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
FCC
17%
26%
57%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
NUO
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 2
LRO
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |