Matera vs Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
AVE
6 - 0
MAT
77%
15%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 1
CAM
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 1
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 0
MAT
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
TRA
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FON
2 - 3
NEA
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 1
ACI
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 0
BRI
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 3
NEA
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |