Matera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SSS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
MAT
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAT
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 1
PIS
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 0
SPA
56%
27%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
LEC
60%
26%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |