Matera vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
MAT
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
REG
1 - 1
MAT
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
NUO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
JUS
2 - 0
FON
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FON
0 - 1
REG
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FON
1 - 3
SIR
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |