Matera vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 2
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
FCC
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAV
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 2
FCC
33%
28%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 0
RIE
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |