Matera vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
31%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 2
CES
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 0
MAT
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SSS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
COM
2 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
VIC
0 - 0
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
52%
30%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 3
COM
57%
28%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |