Matera vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 0
MAT
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
MAT
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 0
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
JUS
0 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAT
0 - 2
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 1
SIR
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 1
CAT
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |