Matera vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
MAT
31%
27%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
FRA
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 0
MAT
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
USV
1 - 0
MAT
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
3 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAT
30%
29%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
JUS
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 2
CAS
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 1
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |