Matera vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
UDI
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
LAZ
5 - 0
MAT
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
3 - 3
BRE
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASS
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CES
3 - 1
BRE
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |