Matera vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PUT
1 - 2
MAT
17%
19%
65%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
ASF
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
SSB
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 3
MAT
21%
21%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
AFR
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
USC
0 - 1
ROT
52%
25%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LAV
4 - 2
ROT
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 0
ROT
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
PVM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
ROT
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |