Matera vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
MAT
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 2
VIC
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
MAT
1 - 0
TAR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAT
72%
18%
9%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEC
47%
31%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATL
38%
34%
28%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |