Matera vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MAT
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASM
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 2
MAT
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
BEN
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 2
FCS
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAV
44%
26%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 0
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |