Matera vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 0
MAT
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
SSS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
MAT
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
GEN
0 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
CES
0 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
CES
4 - 1
BAR
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |