Matelica Calcio vs Nerostellati Pratola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VIS
1 - 1
MAT
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
JES
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
MON
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 2
MAT
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 2
JES
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
USN
0 - 0
REC
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
USN
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
USN
1 - 2
CAM
9%
17%
75%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LAQ
3 - 0
USN
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
USN
0 - 7
FRA
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | -1 |