Matelica Calcio vs Folgore Veregra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 0
MAT
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 0
GIU
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ISE
0 - 1
MAT
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 3
MAT
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
FAN
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Veregra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FVE
0 - 3
FAN
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
FVE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FVE
1 - 1
VIS
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
2 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
FVE
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |