Matelica Calcio vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
SDT
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 0
MAT
14%
24%
63%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
SAN
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
USN
0 - 3
MAT
7%
15%
78%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
VIS
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
FAB
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
3 - 1
REC
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
FAB
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |