Matchakhela vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matchakhela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
LIA
35%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
4 - 2
MER
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
IME
1 - 1
MAT
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
MAT
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
ALG
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
0 - 2
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
GAG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
GAG
3 - 0
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BET
5 - 2
GAG
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 0
SKU
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |