Matchakhela vs Chiatura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matchakhela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BAK
2 - 2
MAT
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
3 - 1
LOK
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
BET
0 - 2
MAT
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 0
DBA
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
MAT
42%
24%
33%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
BET
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
DBA
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
STU
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
0 - 1
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |