Matavera vs Tupapa Maraerenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
AVA
49%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
NIK
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
PUA
2 - 2
MAT
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
TAK
46%
21%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TIT
0 - 3
MAT
58%
19%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tupapa Maraerenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NIK
2 - 1
TUP
53%
19%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
PUA
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TAK
0 - 6
TUP
46%
20%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 1
TIT
54%
19%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
AVA
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |