Matanzas vs Guantánamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
6º
6º
14
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matanzas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 0
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ISL
4 - 1
MAT
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
MAT
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 0
ART
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
LAS
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOL
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |