Matagalpa FC vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
3º
19
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 3
MFC
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 3
MFC
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
RSA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 13 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 1
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
UNA
32%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 1
CDS
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 3
UNA
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 13 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
UNA
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |