Matagalpa FC vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
EST
25%
27%
49%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
CDS
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 2
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
5 - 1
UNA
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 1
JAP
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 2
UNA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |