Matagalpa FC vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
25
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
5 - 0
CDS
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 0
UNA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIR
17%
24%
60%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
6 - 2
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |