Matagalpa FC vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
10º
4º
20
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
DEP
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 3
MFC
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
MFC
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 4
UNA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 1
CDS
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
UNA
30%
25%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 0
JAP
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
UNA
76%
17%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |