Matagalpa FC vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
10º
6º
11
4º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 14 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 14 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 12 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 7 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 6 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 14% |
|
Play-offs
|
21% | 86% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
MFC
13%
19%
68%
|
55 | 6 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
MFC
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 2
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
JAP
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
CDS
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
CDS
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |