Matagalpa FC vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
18
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
MFC
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 2
ORM
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 1
MFC
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
DIR
5 - 2
MFC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 1
UNA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
DIR
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 3
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 1
CDS
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |