Matagalpa FC vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
30
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 1
MFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
MFC
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
UNA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DIR
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 5
EST
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 1
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 2
CDS
8%
16%
75%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |