Matagalpa FC vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
3º
36
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
MFC
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 4
DIR
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 0
JAP
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 0
MFC
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 3
EST
18%
23%
60%
|
69 | 12 | 57 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 4
EST
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
CDS
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |