Matagalpa FC vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
JUM
3 - 3
MFC
15%
18%
67%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
MFC
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 2
ORM
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
ORM
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MTG
1 - 1
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |