Matagalpa FC vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
42
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
CDS
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 1
MFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 5
EST
25%
26%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |