Matagalpa FC vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
5
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 1
MFC
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
DIR
5 - 2
MFC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 1
UNA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
EST
25%
27%
49%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ORM
0 - 1
DEP
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 2
ORM
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 1
CDS
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ORM
0 - 2
DIR
17%
22%
60%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 0
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | +2 |