Matagalpa FC vs Orgánica Masachapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
21
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAP
3 - 1
MFC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
MFC
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
UNA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Orgánica Masachapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
3 - 1
DEP
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
4 - 1
ORM
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 2
CDS
8%
16%
75%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
DIR
16%
25%
60%
|
17 | 70 | 53 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |