Copa Nicaragua Last 16
Global 4-3
Matagalpa FC vs Junior Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
MFC
35%
21%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
MAN
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Junior Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
JUM
3 - 3
MFC
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
JUM
2 - 0
CFC
24%
20%
55%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
JUM
0 - 2
DIR
6%
12%
82%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
DIR
4 - 0
JUM
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
JUM
5 - 1
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |