Matagalpa FC vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
25
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
EST
25%
27%
49%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
CDS
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
WAL
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
WAL
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
DIR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
ORM
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |