Matagalpa FC vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 16 | 48 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |