Matagalpa FC vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |