Matagalpa FC vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
9º
8º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
2 - 1
MFC
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
JAP
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
DIR
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
MFC
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 2
DEP
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
EST
11%
23%
67%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DEP
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |