Master Burgas vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Master Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 1
BER
12%
21%
68%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 2
MAS
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 0
BVR
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DOB
1 - 0
MAS
68%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAS
1 - 1
BAN
16%
25%
58%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 3
FKH
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 4
MON
21%
26%
54%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SOZ
1 - 0
SEP
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SVA
1 - 2
SEP
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 0
BVR
22%
27%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |