Massese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
30.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PIS
4 - 0
MAS
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 0
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 1
PIZ
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
MAS
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 0
PRO
46%
27%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PRO
2 - 0
ASL
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
35%
27%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 2
GRO
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |