Massese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAS
74%
19%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
MAS
0 - 1
ATL
23%
27%
49%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
COM
3 - 1
MAS
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
MAS
0 - 0
REG
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PIS
2 - 1
MAS
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
FCC
2 - 1
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
CES
50%
31%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
PRG
2 - 0
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
37%
32%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 1
FCC
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |