Massese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
USC
3 - 0
MAS
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 0
PAD
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MAS
1 - 1
GRO
27%
29%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SAS
2 - 0
MAS
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MAS
0 - 0
PRO
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 2
PIZ
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 0
PAV
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PAV
2 - 1
CTT
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 2
PAV
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 1
USC
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |